Intent & incentives
Consider stated objectives alongside economic interests and constraints.
DEFENSE, IN CONTEXT.Contact the firm ↗
Analytical method
Signals in their context.
A structured approach to questions about conflict and strategic change.
Resources & capacity
Examine the means available to pursue and sustain a course of action.
ExploreDependencies & alternatives
Test how external relationships and alternative scenarios could alter choices.
Uncertainty
Separate evidence from interpretation and identify what would change the assessment.
ExploreAnalytical inquiries
A signal matters only in context.
Share the development or hypothesis you are testing. The analysis can examine incentives, resources, dependencies and the evidence that would materially change the assessment.
Discuss the signal