Conflict & strategic interests
Actors, incentives and dependencies — and the conditions that would make one scenario more plausible than another.
Explore the fieldIntelligence
Funding, industrial capacity, adoption and time shape what political intent can become. Intelligence follows those forces as they change, separating stated ambition from what the evidence supports.

Fields of analysis
Four fields, each shaped by the others. Explore one in depth, or browse the research library.
4 fields
Actors, incentives and dependencies — and the conditions that would make one scenario more plausible than another.
Explore the fieldPublic funding, budget trade-offs and the capacity to sustain a strategic commitment over time.
Explore the fieldProduction, dependencies and the relationship between policy ambitions and delivery.
Explore the fieldOperational needs, integration constraints and the institutional route to demand.
Explore the fieldDefine what is worth watching.
Explore monitoring